ATP tennis predict — Federico Zeballos vs Ergi Kirkin

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Federico Zeballos

Bolivia

19.29%

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

80.71%

Average Odds

5.31 / 1.13

Market probability

17.55% / 82.45%

Why This Prediction?

Ergi Kirkin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1530 vs 1385), a higher Elo rating (1510 vs 1403) and more career match wins (94 vs 41).

Player Comparison

1403.1 Elo 1509.5

1385.3 Elo (surface) 1529.5

41 Wins (Challenger) 94

13 Wins (surface) 34

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 1.019

1234 Rank 608

38.2 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Zeballos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Zeballos Ergi Kirkin

1st Serve In %

57.5%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

40.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Zeballos Ergi Kirkin

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%

46.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Zeballos 0 – 0 Ergi Kirkin

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Ergi Kirkin #608

Federico Zeballos #1234

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

73 Service Points 50

37 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 22

17 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.3

Federico Zeballos vs Ergi Kirkin — Prediction