ATP tennis predict — Federico Iannaccone vs Peter Fajta

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:30

Predicted probability

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

36.68%

Peter Fajta

Hungary

63.32%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.56

Market probability

63.68% / 36.32%

Why This Prediction?

Peter Fajta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1506 vs 1477), a stronger serve (64.8% vs 61.6% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.22 vs 0.05).

Player Comparison

1519.0 Elo 1510.6

1476.8 Elo (surface) 1506.5

37 Wins (Challenger) 11

30 Wins (surface) 8

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.284 Dominance ratio 1.176

643 Rank 734

27.4 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Peter Fajta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Peter Fajta

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

71.8%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.9%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.2%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Peter Fajta

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone 0 – 0 Peter Fajta

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Federico Iannaccone #643

Peter Fajta #734

5-7 6-1 6-0

8 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 6

56 Service Points 94

35 First Serve In 55

26 First Serve Won 32

14 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Federico Iannaccone vs Peter Fajta — Prediction