ATP tennis predict — Federico Iannaccone vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

29.75%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

70.25%

Average Odds

3.56 / 1.28

Market probability

26.45% / 73.55%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1857 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1622) and a stronger serve (64.8% vs 59.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1622.3 Elo 1772.3

1591.9 Elo (surface) 1856.6

44 Wins (Challenger) 60

37 Wins (surface) 53

11 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.185 Dominance ratio 1.032

588 Rank 214

27.5 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

—

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.8%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.9%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

62.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.2%

41.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

—

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone 0 – 0 Luka Mikrut

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Luka Mikrut #214

Federico Iannaccone #588

6-1 6-2

0 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

12 First Serve Won 23

5 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Federico Iannaccone vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction