ATP tennis predict — Federico Iannaccone vs Luca Wiedenmann

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

74.36%

Luca Wiedenmann

Germany

25.64%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.70

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Iannaccone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1467), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1568 vs 1465) and a stronger return game (47.8% vs 36.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1607.6 Elo 1466.9

1567.6 Elo (surface) 1465.5

41 Wins (Challenger) 4

34 Wins (surface) 4

10 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.185 Dominance ratio 0.934

643 Rank 547

27.5 Age 28.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Luca Wiedenmann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Luca Wiedenmann

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

71.8%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.9%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.2%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Luca Wiedenmann

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone 0 – 0 Luca Wiedenmann

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Federico Iannaccone #643

Luca Wiedenmann #547

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 23

7 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Federico Iannaccone vs Luca Wiedenmann — Prediction