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Federico Iannaccone vs Juan Estevez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Juan Estevez

Argentina

49.30%

Average Odds

1.87  /  1.84

Market probability

49.60%  /  50.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1539.6 Elo 1490.2
1501.1 Elo (surface) 1510.1
38 Wins (Challenger) 17
31 Wins (surface) 17
10 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.319 Dominance ratio 1.119
643 Rank 357
27.4 Age 20.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Juan Estevez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Juan Estevez

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

71.8%
70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.9%
64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%
45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%
37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.2%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Juan Estevez

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%
47.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
37.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone 00 Juan Estevez

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01
4-6 6-3 6-1
1 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 4
81 Service Points 73
56 First Serve In 42
31 First Serve Won 24
12 Second Serve Won 9
4 Break Points Saved 4
9 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Federico Iannaccone — Last 10

L W W L W L W L W W

Juan Estevez — Last 10

L L L W L L L W W W