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Federico Iannaccone vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.90  /  1.83

Market probability

49.06%  /  50.94%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Iannaccone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1603 vs 1546), a higher Elo rating (1625 vs 1547) and a stronger return game (47.8% vs 35.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1624.8 Elo 1547.5
1603.3 Elo (surface) 1546.0
46 Wins (Challenger) 120
39 Wins (surface) 99
10 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.185 Dominance ratio 0.990
587 Rank 289
27.6 Age 25.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Filip Cristian Jianu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Filip Cristian Jianu

1st Serve In %

—
75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

78.4%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.0%
54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Filip Cristian Jianu

Break Points Saved %

—
70.3%

Break Points Converted %

—
58.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone and Filip Cristian Jianu have never played each other.

Federico Iannaccone — Last 10

W W L L W W L W L W

Filip Cristian Jianu — Last 10

L L L L L W L W W W