ATP tennis predict — Federico Iannaccone vs Alexander Weis

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

58.68%

Alexander Weis

Italy

41.32%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.80

Market probability

48.39% / 51.61%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Iannaccone is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (50.2% vs 35.4% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1565 vs 1525) and a better head-to-head record against Alexander Weis (1-0).

Player Comparison

1564.8 Elo 1525.3

1537.3 Elo (surface) 1533.2

40 Wins (Challenger) 59

33 Wins (surface) 59

11 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.251 Dominance ratio 0.830

643 Rank 584

27.4 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Alexander Weis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Alexander Weis

1st Serve In %

—

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

16.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

37.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.8%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.9%

62.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.2%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Iannaccone Alexander Weis

Break Points Saved %

—

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

53.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Iannaccone 1 – 0 Alexander Weis

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Federico Iannaccone #643

Alexander Weis #584

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

60 Service Points 59

44 First Serve In 32

29 First Serve Won 18

9 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Vicenza CH · 2024-05-27

Q1

Federico Iannaccone #486

Alexander Weis #317

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

46 Service Points 74

38 First Serve In 41

22 First Serve Won 25

6 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Federico Iannaccone vs Alexander Weis — Prediction