ATP tennis predict — Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Federico Coria

Argentina

52.37%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

47.63%

Average Odds

2.92 / 1.37

Market probability

31.93% / 68.07%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1686.1 Elo 1663.7

1698.0 Elo (surface) 1685.1

81 Wins 22

68 Wins (surface) 9

6 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.858

783 Rank 195

34.4 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Coria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Coria Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

66.2%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.8%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.2%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Coria Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Coria 1 – 1 Vitaliy Sachko

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Vitaliy Sachko #195

Federico Coria #783

7-6 6-2

5 Aces 3

9 Double Faults 0

79 Service Points 52

51 First Serve In 30

33 First Serve Won 24

7 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Clay Bratislava CH · 2023-06-12

QF

Vitaliy Sachko #266

Federico Coria #93

4-6 7-5 6-3

0 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 3

95 Service Points 111

59 First Serve In 77

39 First Serve Won 42

18 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 9

9 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Concepcion CH · 2021-02-14

R32

Federico Coria #92

Vitaliy Sachko #403

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 54

26 First Serve In 44

17 First Serve Won 18

13 Second Serve Won 4

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Federico Coria — Last 10

Vitaliy Sachko — Last 10