ATP tennis predict — Federico Cina vs James Trotter

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Federico Cina

Italy

73.13%

James Trotter

Japan

26.87%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.29

Market probability

71.52% / 28.48%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1768 vs 1616), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1757 vs 1598) and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 37.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1768.0 Elo 1615.9

1756.9 Elo (surface) 1598.0

46 Wins (Challenger) 100

30 Wins (surface) 95

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.973 Dominance ratio 1.101

168 Rank 439

19.5 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

James Trotter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina James Trotter

1st Serve In %

57.3%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina James Trotter

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

26.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Cina 0 – 0 James Trotter

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

James Trotter #439

Federico Cina #168

6-4 6-1

1 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 30

8 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Federico Cina vs James Trotter — Prediction