ATP tennis predict — Federico Cina vs Hugo Dellien

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Federico Cina

Italy

83.34%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

16.66%

Average Odds

1.20 / 3.92

Market probability

76.56% / 23.44%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1646 vs 1402), more wins on hard courts (30 vs 1) and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 36.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1653.7 Elo 1703.7

1645.8 Elo (surface) 1401.7

11 Wins 95

4 Wins (surface) 13

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.084 Dominance ratio 1.058

181 Rank 140

19.4 Age 33.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

57.3%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Cina 0 – 0 Hugo Dellien

Hard US Open · 2026-08-27

qualification - 2. round

Federico Cina #181

Hugo Dellien #140

6-3 5-7 7-5

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 5

97 Service Points 117

52 First Serve In 78

38 First Serve Won 51

22 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 12

22 Winners 18

36 Unforced Errors 39

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Federico Cina vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction