ATP tennis predict — Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

ATP Hard Chengdu · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Federico Cina

Italy

55.91%

Alexandre Muller

France

44.09%

Average Odds

1.83 / 1.95

Market probability

51.59% / 48.41%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (39.5% vs 35.5% of return points won) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 62.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1753.4 Elo 1780.0

1725.2 Elo (surface) 1762.6

15 Wins 94

8 Wins (surface) 51

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.066 Dominance ratio 1.108

170 Rank 135

19.5 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina Alexandre Muller

1st Serve In %

56.8%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Cina Alexandre Muller

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Cina 0 – 1 Alexandre Muller

Clay Marrakech · 2026-03-30

R32

Alexandre Muller #94

Federico Cina #208

6-2 6-3

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 7

49 Service Points 58

36 First Serve In 33

25 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 5

3 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller — Prediction