ATP tennis predict — Federico Bondioli vs Guido Ivan Justo

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Federico Bondioli

Italy

45.49%

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

54.51%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.59

Market probability

41.41% / 58.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1554.5 Elo 1627.7

1576.9 Elo (surface) 1643.2

32 Wins (Challenger) 82

31 Wins (surface) 82

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.934 Dominance ratio 1.409

346 Rank 226

21.2 Age 28.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Bondioli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Bondioli Guido Ivan Justo

1st Serve In %

69.3%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

52.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

23.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.1%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Bondioli Guido Ivan Justo

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

18.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Bondioli 0 – 0 Guido Ivan Justo

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-15

R16

Federico Bondioli #346

Guido Ivan Justo #226

6-3 7-6

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

71 Service Points 78

41 First Serve In 47

26 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Federico Bondioli vs Guido Ivan Justo — Prediction