ATP tennis predict — Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Federico Arnaboldi

Italy

47.11%

Kalin Ivanovski

North Macedonia

52.89%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.06

Market probability

54.79% / 45.21%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1562.9 Elo 1563.3

1557.0 Elo (surface) 1535.3

74 Wins (Challenger) 19

62 Wins (surface) 9

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.903 Dominance ratio 1.039

476 Rank 749

26.3 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Arnaboldi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kalin Ivanovski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-10-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Arnaboldi Kalin Ivanovski

1st Serve In %

66.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.6%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Arnaboldi Kalin Ivanovski

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Arnaboldi and Kalin Ivanovski have never played each other.

Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski — Prediction