ATP tennis predict — Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Iannaccone

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Federico Arnaboldi

Italy

40.36%

Federico Iannaccone

Italy

59.64%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.82

Market probability

49.59% / 50.41%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Iannaccone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1584 vs 1521), a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1529) and a stronger return game (47.8% vs 37.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1529.1 Elo 1610.4

1521.5 Elo (surface) 1584.3

71 Wins (Challenger) 44

59 Wins (surface) 37

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.903 Dominance ratio 1.185

495 Rank 588

26.3 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Arnaboldi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Federico Iannaccone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Arnaboldi Federico Iannaccone

1st Serve In %

66.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

71.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

57.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

60.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Arnaboldi Federico Iannaccone

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

53.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Arnaboldi and Federico Iannaccone have never played each other.

Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Iannaccone — Prediction