ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Samuele Pieri

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

62.76%

Samuele Pieri

Italy

37.24%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.91

Market probability

67.99% / 32.01%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Agustin Gomez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1611 vs 1508), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1625 vs 1513) and more wins on clay courts (10 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1610.9 Elo 1507.5

1625.0 Elo (surface) 1512.8

93 Wins (Challenger) 15

73 Wins (surface) 15

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.740 Dominance ratio 0.863

191 Rank 400

29.7 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Samuele Pieri

1st Serve In %

62.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.42

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Samuele Pieri

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 0 Samuele Pieri

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Federico Agustin Gomez #191

Samuele Pieri #400

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 50

28 First Serve In 31

18 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Samuele Pieri — Prediction