ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

30.65%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

69.35%

Average Odds

1.98 / 1.75

Market probability

46.92% / 53.08%

Why This Prediction?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1734 vs 1637), a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1621) and more wins on clay courts (138 vs 74).

Player Comparison

1621.5 Elo 1707.4

1636.7 Elo (surface) 1734.3

94 Wins (Challenger) 140

74 Wins (surface) 138

5 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.733 Dominance ratio 1.052

191 Rank 297

29.7 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

1st Serve In %

62.1%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 0 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Federico Agustin Gomez #191

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #297

7-6 2-6 7-5

5 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 4

93 Service Points 116

63 First Serve In 75

45 First Serve Won 51

16 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Prediction