ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

57.88%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

42.12%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.65

Market probability

64.95% / 35.05%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Agustin Gomez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1632 vs 1554), a higher Elo rating (1617 vs 1544) and a stronger return game (39.8% vs 31.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1617.4 Elo 1544.0

1631.5 Elo (surface) 1554.4

95 Wins (Challenger) 11

75 Wins (surface) 11

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.916 Dominance ratio 0.717

174 Rank 405

29.7 Age 21.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

62.1%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Federico Agustin Gomez #174

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #405

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

43 Service Points 47

26 First Serve In 28

11 First Serve Won 18

6 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction