ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Darwin Blanch

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

36.64%

Darwin Blanch

USA

63.36%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.57

Market probability

40.99% / 59.01%

Why This Prediction?

Darwin Blanch is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (65.8% vs 57.9% of service points won), a better head-to-head record against Federico Agustin Gomez (1-0) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1687.7 Elo 1662.3

1609.9 Elo (surface) 1579.9

98 Wins (Challenger) 30

21 Wins (surface) 18

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.802 Dominance ratio 1.075

186 Rank 245

29.8 Age 19.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Darwin Blanch

1st Serve In %

62.1%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Darwin Blanch

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 1 Darwin Blanch

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Darwin Blanch #245

Federico Agustin Gomez #186

6-3 6-0

5 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

14 First Serve Won 22

7 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Sarasota CH · 2026-04-06

R32

Darwin Blanch #254

Federico Agustin Gomez #173

6-3 1-1 RET

4 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 1

34 Service Points 28

22 First Serve In 22

18 First Serve Won 14

5 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Darwin Blanch — Prediction