ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

38.82%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

61.18%

Average Odds

2.11 / 1.64

Market probability

43.73% / 56.27%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Milavsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1657 vs 1581), a higher Elo rating (1712 vs 1671) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1671.5 Elo 1712.0

1581.1 Elo (surface) 1657.1

97 Wins (Challenger) 32

20 Wins (surface) 27

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.802 Dominance ratio 1.013

186 Rank 314

29.8 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

62.1%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Federico Agustin Gomez #186

Daniel Milavsky #314

4-6 7-6 6-2

7 Aces 7

8 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 41

23 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction