ATP tennis predict — Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougaz

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

41.94%

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

58.06%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.78

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Aziz Dougaz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1606 vs 1434), more wins on hard courts (63 vs 20) and more aces per game (0.25 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1632.1 Elo 1597.1

1434.0 Elo (surface) 1606.3

20 Wins 15

9 Wins (surface) 10

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.066 Dominance ratio 0.827

181 Rank 629

29.7 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Aziz Dougaz

1st Serve In %

62.1%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Federico Agustin Gomez Aziz Dougaz

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 1 Aziz Dougaz

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Aziz Dougaz #520

Federico Agustin Gomez #169

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 3

60 Service Points 52

23 First Serve In 30

20 First Serve Won 26

14 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 0

12 Winners 14

15 Unforced Errors 7

1.8 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Savannah CH · 2023-04-24

R16

Aziz Dougaz #240

Federico Agustin Gomez #622

7-6(3) 6-4

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 75

42 First Serve In 45

27 First Serve Won 25

14 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougaz — Prediction