ATP tennis predict — Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Fausto Tabacco

Italy

28.08%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

71.92%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Rincon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1728 vs 1527), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1691 vs 1591) and more wins on hard courts (32 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1527.0 Elo 1727.7

1591.1 Elo (surface) 1690.8

14 Wins (Challenger) 108

3 Wins (surface) 32

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.913 Dominance ratio 1.016

478 Rank 257

24.4 Age 23.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fausto Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fausto Tabacco Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

—

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.2%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fausto Tabacco Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

—

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fausto Tabacco and Daniel Rincon have never played each other.

Fausto Tabacco vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction