ATP tennis predict — Fausto Tabacco vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Fausto Tabacco

Italy

29.13%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

70.87%

Average Odds

2.96 / 1.36

Market probability

31.48% / 68.52%

Why This Prediction?

Alejo Sanchez Quilez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1623 vs 1487), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1651 vs 1520) and more wins on hard courts (12 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1486.5 Elo 1622.5

1520.5 Elo (surface) 1651.4

13 Wins (Challenger) 33

2 Wins (surface) 12

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.913 Dominance ratio 0.958

478 Rank 370

24.4 Age 21.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fausto Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fausto Tabacco Alejo Sanchez Quilez

1st Serve In %

—

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fausto Tabacco Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Break Points Saved %

—

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fausto Tabacco and Alejo Sanchez Quilez have never played each other.

Fausto Tabacco vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Prediction