ATP tennis predict — Faris Zakaryia vs Alex Rybakov

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Faris Zakaryia

Egypt

31.79%

Alex Rybakov

USA

68.21%

Average Odds

3.96 / 1.23

Market probability

23.70% / 76.30%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Rybakov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1525 vs 1402), more wins on hard courts (72 vs 2) and more career match wins (119 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1401.6 Elo 1525.2

1496.3 Elo (surface) 1480.6

2 Wins (Challenger) 119

2 Wins (surface) 72

2 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.781 Dominance ratio 1.017

520 Rank 507

25.3 Age 29.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Faris Zakaryia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Alex Rybakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Faris Zakaryia Alex Rybakov

1st Serve In %

—

69.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.6%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.7%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

55.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Faris Zakaryia Alex Rybakov

Break Points Saved %

—

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

71.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Faris Zakaryia 0 – 0 Alex Rybakov

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Alex Rybakov #507

Faris Zakaryia #520

6-1 7-6

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Faris Zakaryia vs Alex Rybakov — Prediction