ATP tennis predict — Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 10:20

Predicted probability

Fajing Sun

China

88.81%

Zangar Nurlanuly

Kazakhstan

11.19%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.47

Market probability

79.12% / 20.88%

Why This Prediction?

Fajing Sun is the favorite because he has more career match wins (77 vs 0), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1465) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1350.3 Elo 1397.9

1537.7 Elo (surface) 1465.5

77 Wins (Challenger) 0

76 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.624 Dominance ratio 0.573

326 Rank 1677

29.8 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fajing Sun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Zangar Nurlanuly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fajing Sun Zangar Nurlanuly

1st Serve In %

56.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

38.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.89

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fajing Sun Zangar Nurlanuly

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

37.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fajing Sun 0 – 0 Zangar Nurlanuly

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Fajing Sun #326

Zangar Nurlanuly #1677

6-2 3-6 6-2

6 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 10

83 Service Points 78

49 First Serve In 43

34 First Serve Won 27

19 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly — Prediction