ATP tennis predict — Fajing Sun vs Tung Lin Wu

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 08:05

Predicted probability

Fajing Sun

China

39.75%

Tung Lin Wu

Chinese Taipei

60.25%

Average Odds

2.23 / 1.61

Market probability

41.93% / 58.07%

Why This Prediction?

Tung Lin Wu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1542 vs 1383), a better head-to-head record against Fajing Sun (2-0) and more wins on hard courts (165 vs 78).

Player Comparison

1382.9 Elo 1542.2

1552.9 Elo (surface) 1536.3

79 Wins (Challenger) 195

78 Wins (surface) 165

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.269 Dominance ratio 1.030

323 Rank 370

29.9 Age 28.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fajing Sun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tung Lin Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fajing Sun Tung Lin Wu

1st Serve In %

56.1%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

54.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.4%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fajing Sun Tung Lin Wu

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

16.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fajing Sun 0 – 2 Tung Lin Wu

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Fajing Sun #323

Tung Lin Wu #370

6-7 6-4 7-6

9 Aces 16

0 Double Faults 2

135 Service Points 103

98 First Serve In 76

67 First Serve Won 55

19 Second Serve Won 15

9 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Shanghai CH · 2024-09-02

Q2

Tung Lin Wu #327

Fajing Sun #379

6-4 6-3

9 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 0

59 Service Points 75

36 First Serve In 51

29 First Serve Won 31

12 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Shanghai CH · 2023-09-04

R32

Tung Lin Wu #188

Fajing Sun #404

7-6(5) 3-6 6-2

6 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 2

107 Service Points 91

81 First Serve In 54

51 First Serve Won 36

16 Second Serve Won 20

12 Break Points Saved 3

15 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Fajing Sun vs Tung Lin Wu — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Fajing Sun — Last 10

Tung Lin Wu — Last 10