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Facundo Mena vs Nicolas Kicker — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Facundo Mena

Argentina

46.39%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

53.61%

Average Odds

1.58  /  1.97

Market probability

55.49%  /  44.51%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1699.5 Elo 1668.0
1730.0 Elo (surface) 1680.5
205 Wins (Challenger) 205
180 Wins (surface) 189
11 Last 15 form 10
1 Head-to-head wins 3
1.083 Dominance ratio 1.077
220 Rank 333
34.0 Age 34.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

60.1%
65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%
69.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
40.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
65.6%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
59.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Mena 13 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Lima 2 CH · 2025-11-03
3-6 6-2 6-3
1 Aces 9
2 Double Faults 2
84 Service Points 98
57 First Serve In 49
40 First Serve Won 31
12 Second Serve Won 21
8 Break Points Saved 11
11 Break Points Faced 16
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Santiago CH · 2022-03-07
6-3 6-4
0 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 3
56 Service Points 54
38 First Serve In 31
26 First Serve Won 20
11 Second Serve Won 10
0 Break Points Saved 5
2 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Santiago 1 CH · 2021-10-04
6-4 6-4
4 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
68 Service Points 73
39 First Serve In 37
29 First Serve Won 24
16 Second Serve Won 19
4 Break Points Saved 5
5 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Santiago CH · 2021-03-15
6-4 3-6 7-6(3)
5 Aces 10
1 Double Faults 3
100 Service Points 105
72 First Serve In 60
48 First Serve Won 45
16 Second Serve Won 18
7 Break Points Saved 1
11 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Facundo Mena — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W

Nicolas Kicker — Last 10

W W L W W W W L W L