ATP tennis predict — Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Facundo Mena

Argentina

53.14%

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

46.86%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.22

Market probability

59.04% / 40.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1559.5 Elo 1541.4

1595.3 Elo (surface) 1618.8

195 Wins (Challenger) 31

170 Wins (surface) 21

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.235 Dominance ratio 0.972

345 Rank 594

33.9 Age 30.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Kai Wehnelt

1st Serve In %

60.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Kai Wehnelt

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Mena 0 – 0 Kai Wehnelt

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Facundo Mena #345

Kai Wehnelt #594

7-6 7-5

8 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 1

76 Service Points 94

50 First Serve In 58

41 First Serve Won 39

16 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 9

2 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.2

Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt — Prediction