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Facundo Mena vs Juan Manuel La Serna — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Facundo Mena

Argentina

47.53%

Juan Manuel La Serna

Argentina

52.47%

Average Odds

1.69  /  2.04

Market probability

54.69%  /  45.31%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1555.9 Elo 1572.0
1594.3 Elo (surface) 1592.8
194 Wins (Challenger) 40
169 Wins (surface) 38
6 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.113 Dominance ratio 0.817
344 Rank 288
33.9 Age 22.5
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Juan Manuel La Serna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Juan Manuel La Serna

1st Serve In %

60.1%
64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
20.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Juan Manuel La Serna

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
55.6%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%
48.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Mena 00 Juan Manuel La Serna

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18
6-3 6-3
1 Aces 0
4 Double Faults 1
61 Service Points 57
34 First Serve In 39
25 First Serve Won 29
10 Second Serve Won 11
3 Break Points Saved 1
6 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Facundo Mena — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W

Juan Manuel La Serna — Last 10

L W L W W L W L W W