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Facundo Mena vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · F 11:55

Predicted probability

Facundo Mena

Argentina

40.39%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

59.61%

Average Odds

3.51  /  1.27

Market probability

26.57%  /  73.43%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1720 vs 1634) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1765 vs 1674).

Player Comparison

1634.3 Elo 1720.4
1674.4 Elo (surface) 1765.5
202 Wins (Challenger) 262
177 Wins (surface) 261
9 Last 15 form 12
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.117 Dominance ratio 0.888
306 Rank 140
34.0 Age 33.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

60.1%
66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%
65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Mena Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%
43.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Mena 11 Hugo Dellien

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-06
7-6 6-4
6 Aces 1
6 Double Faults 1
77 Service Points 76
46 First Serve In 57
37 First Serve Won 33
9 Second Serve Won 11
2 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.5 Average Odds 1.3
Clay Piracicaba CH · 2025-01-27
3-6 6-3 6-0
6 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 3
74 Service Points 71
40 First Serve In 51
27 First Serve Won 27
25 Second Serve Won 11
4 Break Points Saved 3
5 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Lima 1 CH · 2021-09-27
6-4 6-4
1 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
62 Service Points 62
48 First Serve In 43
36 First Serve Won 31
7 Second Serve Won 6
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Facundo Mena — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W

Hugo Dellien — Last 10

L W L W L W W W W L