ATP tennis predict — Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 20:15

Predicted probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

79.36%

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

20.64%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.69

Market probability

74.70% / 25.30%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1818 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating (1780 vs 1611) and more wins on clay courts (145 vs 57).

Player Comparison

1779.6 Elo 1611.4

1818.1 Elo (surface) 1592.2

154 Wins (Challenger) 74

145 Wins (surface) 57

13 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.260 Dominance ratio 1.101

82 Rank 210

25.7 Age 27.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Pol Martin Tiffon

1st Serve In %

65.8%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.2%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.4%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Pol Martin Tiffon

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.6%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta 0 – 0 Pol Martin Tiffon

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Facundo Diaz Acosta #82

Pol Martin Tiffon #210

6-3 2-6 6-2

0 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 75

44 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 28

17 Second Serve Won 14

9 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction