ATP tennis predict — Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

70.04%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

29.96%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.28

Market probability

71.62% / 28.38%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1769 vs 1613), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1793 vs 1646) and more wins on clay courts (142 vs 81).

Player Comparison

1769.5 Elo 1613.2

1793.3 Elo (surface) 1645.8

151 Wins (Challenger) 88

142 Wins (surface) 81

13 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.250 Dominance ratio 1.119

107 Rank 157

25.6 Age 21.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1st Serve In %

65.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.2%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.4%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

62.1%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.6%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta 0 – 0 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Facundo Diaz Acosta #107

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #157

6-2 4-6 6-1

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

80 Service Points 82

56 First Serve In 43

36 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 20

11 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Prediction