ATP tennis predict — Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Federico Cina

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · 1. round

Predicted probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

59.83%

Federico Cina

Italy

40.17%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.41

Market probability

60.71% / 39.29%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1786 vs 1657), a higher Elo rating (1757 vs 1672) and more wins on clay courts (140 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1756.6 Elo 1672.3

1786.4 Elo (surface) 1656.8

32 Wins 10

23 Wins (surface) 6

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.009 Dominance ratio 1.086

108 Rank 184

25.6 Age 19.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

65.8%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.2%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.4%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.6%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta 0 – 0 Federico Cina

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-20

1. round

Facundo Diaz Acosta #108

Federico Cina #184

4-6 6-3 6-4

5 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 6

94 Service Points 73

63 First Serve In 41

49 First Serve Won 32

14 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 3

19 Winners 33

33 Unforced Errors 49

1.6 Average Odds 2.4

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Federico Cina — Prediction