ATP tennis predict — Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Dusan Lajovic

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · F 19:30

Predicted probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

77.76%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

22.24%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.23

Market probability

58.53% / 41.47%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1899 vs 1812), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1919 vs 1787) and a stronger return game (44.3% vs 37.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1898.6 Elo 1812.4

1919.1 Elo (surface) 1787.2

158 Wins (Challenger) 154

149 Wins (surface) 118

14 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.298 Dominance ratio 1.061

82 Rank 167

25.7 Age 36.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

65.8%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.2%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.4%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.6%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta 1 – 1 Dusan Lajovic

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-13

F

Facundo Diaz Acosta #82

Dusan Lajovic #167

6-2 6-1

3 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 19

9 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Australian Open · 2026-01-19

Q1

Dusan Lajovic #125

Facundo Diaz Acosta #247

7-6(3) 5-7 7-6(3)

6 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 5

111 Service Points 143

79 First Serve In 98

58 First Serve Won 64

18 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Buenos Aires · 2024-02-12

QF

Facundo Diaz Acosta #87

Dusan Lajovic #58

6-4 6-3

4 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 53

36 First Serve In 35

27 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta — Last 10

Dusan Lajovic — Last 10