ATP tennis predict — Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Daniel Elahi Galan

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

81.99%

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

18.01%

Average Odds

1.16 / 4.59

Market probability

79.83% / 20.17%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1908 vs 1698), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1928 vs 1667) and a stronger return game (44.3% vs 38.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1907.9 Elo 1697.9

1927.5 Elo (surface) 1667.3

159 Wins (Challenger) 231

150 Wins (surface) 191

14 Last 15 form 8

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.298 Dominance ratio 1.145

72 Rank 392

25.8 Age 30.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Daniel Elahi Galan

1st Serve In %

65.8%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.2%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.4%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Daniel Elahi Galan

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

76.6%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta 2 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Daniel Elahi Galan #392

Facundo Diaz Acosta #72

5-7 6-2 6-3

2 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 44

10 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.6 Average Odds 1.2

Clay Bad Waltersdorf CH · 2025-09-15

R32

Facundo Diaz Acosta #268

Daniel Elahi Galan #130

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

59 Service Points 60

43 First Serve In 39

32 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Kitzbuhel · 2024-07-22

R16

Facundo Diaz Acosta #77

Daniel Elahi Galan #137

6-2 4-6 6-3

3 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 1

91 Service Points 87

65 First Serve In 57

43 First Serve Won 35

12 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Facundo Diaz Acosta — Last 10

Daniel Elahi Galan — Last 10