← Back to Predictions

Fabrizio Andaloro vs Matyas Cerny — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Fabrizio Andaloro

Italy

43.25%

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

56.75%

Average Odds

2.03  /  1.72

Market probability

45.87%  /  54.13%

Why This Prediction?

Matyas Cerny is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (11 vs 3), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1433 vs 1410) and a stronger return game (41.9% vs 37.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1495.8 Elo 1432.9
1410.2 Elo (surface) 1433.1
20 Wins (Challenger) 12
3 Wins (surface) 11
7 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.890 Dominance ratio 1.156
523 Rank 719
25.7 Age 25.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabrizio Andaloro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabrizio Andaloro Matyas Cerny

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.5%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%
71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%
52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%
34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabrizio Andaloro Matyas Cerny

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.2%
43.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%
43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabrizio Andaloro and Matyas Cerny have never played each other.

Fabrizio Andaloro — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L L

Matyas Cerny — Last 10

L W L W L L L L L W