ATP tennis predict — Fabrizio Andaloro vs Jay Clarke

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Fabrizio Andaloro

Italy

22.19%

Jay Clarke

Great Britain

77.81%

Average Odds

5.06 / 1.13

Market probability

18.26% / 81.74%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Clarke is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1662 vs 1360), a higher Elo rating (1667 vs 1479) and more wins on clay courts (62 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1478.7 Elo 1667.4

1360.2 Elo (surface) 1662.2

19 Wins (Challenger) 164

2 Wins (surface) 62

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.890 Dominance ratio 0.902

523 Rank 236

25.7 Age 28.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabrizio Andaloro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Jay Clarke

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabrizio Andaloro Jay Clarke

1st Serve In %

—

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

61.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabrizio Andaloro Jay Clarke

Break Points Saved %

—

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

48.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabrizio Andaloro and Jay Clarke have never played each other.

Fabrizio Andaloro vs Jay Clarke — Prediction