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Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda — Prediction

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

51.38%

Zachary Svajda

USA

48.62%

Average Odds

1.79  /  1.97

Market probability

52.39%  /  47.61%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1895.5 Elo 1848.0
1824.9 Elo (surface) 1797.7
90 Wins 66
53 Wins (surface) 53
8 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.898 Dominance ratio 1.071
63 Rank 82
27.0 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Zachary Svajda

1st Serve In %

52.4%
57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.1%
73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%
49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%
55.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%
56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%
56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%
36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%
50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Zachary Svajda

Break Points Saved %

61.5%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%
46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%
52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan and Zachary Svajda have never played each other.

Fabian Marozsan — Last 10

L W W L L W W L L W

Zachary Svajda — Last 10

L L W L L W L L W L