ATP tennis predict — Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel

ATP Hard Hangzhou · R16 09:00

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

74.05%

Taro Daniel

Japan

25.95%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.87

Market probability

67.21% / 32.79%

Why This Prediction?

Fabian Marozsan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1833 vs 1690), a higher Elo rating (1902 vs 1805) and a stronger serve (68.9% vs 56.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1901.8 Elo 1804.5

1833.2 Elo (surface) 1690.4

89 Wins 222

52 Wins (surface) 132

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.898 Dominance ratio 0.827

59 Rank 193

27.0 Age 33.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

53.6%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

61.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

44.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.7%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan and Taro Daniel have never played each other.

Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel — Prediction