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Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Prediction

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 2. round 02:20

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

33.12%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

66.88%

Average Odds

2.13  /  1.70

Market probability

44.39%  /  55.61%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1779 vs 1623), a higher Elo rating (1760 vs 1717) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 42.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1717.1 Elo 1759.7
1622.9 Elo (surface) 1779.0
86 Wins 212
49 Wins (surface) 138
7 Last 15 form 7
3 Head-to-head wins 1
0.942 Dominance ratio 0.949
63 Rank 64
26.9 Age 27.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Miomir Kecmanovic

1st Serve In %

55.3%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%
74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%
52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%
38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%
57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Miomir Kecmanovic

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
64.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%
35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%
65.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%
49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan 31 Miomir Kecmanovic

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-26
6-3 6-4
1 Aces 8
3 Double Faults 4
81 Service Points 57
49 First Serve In 39
28 First Serve Won 30
16 Second Serve Won 10
6 Break Points Saved 3
9 Break Points Faced 4
11 Winners 43
20 Unforced Errors 32
2.1 Average Odds 1.7
Grass Mallorca · 2026-06-25
3 Aces 9
1 Double Faults 1
60 Service Points 56
38 First Serve In 32
26 First Serve Won 29
10 Second Serve Won 12
7 Break Points Saved 3
10 Break Points Faced 4
15 Winners 27
20 Unforced Errors 26
2.0 Average Odds 1.8
Grass Halle · 2026-06-16
6-3 3-6 6-4
7 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 2
95 Service Points 93
66 First Serve In 66
49 First Serve Won 46
16 Second Serve Won 15
7 Break Points Saved 13
8 Break Points Faced 15
39 Winners 32
37 Unforced Errors 28
2.3 Average Odds 1.6
Clay French Open · 2026-05-24
7-6 6-3 6-4
2 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 2
95 Service Points 115
66 First Serve In 66
52 First Serve Won 42
15 Second Serve Won 23
3 Break Points Saved 5
5 Break Points Faced 9
34 Winners 46
22 Unforced Errors 45
1.6 Average Odds 2.3
Grass Halle · 2025-06-16
6-7(3) 6-4 6-4
8 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 5
109 Service Points 121
70 First Serve In 82
56 First Serve Won 58
21 Second Serve Won 20
10 Break Points Saved 8
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Fabian Marozsan — Last 10

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Miomir Kecmanovic — Last 10

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