ATP tennis predict — Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

39.64%

Michael Zheng

USA

60.36%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.68

Market probability

43.52% / 56.48%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zheng is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1769 vs 1730), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1687 vs 1650) and a stronger return game (40.1% vs 32.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1729.9 Elo 1768.9

1650.3 Elo (surface) 1687.1

88 Wins 17

51 Wins (surface) 12

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.835 Dominance ratio 0.996

63 Rank 107

26.9 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michael Zheng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Michael Zheng

1st Serve In %

55.3%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Michael Zheng

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan 0 – 1 Michael Zheng

Hard US Open · 2026-09-02

1. round

Michael Zheng #107

Fabian Marozsan #63

6-4 6-4 6-2

3 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 2

87 Service Points 83

50 First Serve In 39

31 First Serve Won 36

19 Second Serve Won 22

3 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 6

26 Winners 33

27 Unforced Errors 17

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14

1. round

Michael Zheng #113

Fabian Marozsan #61

3-6 6-1 7-6

12 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

90 Service Points 86

53 First Serve In 48

35 First Serve Won 40

19 Second Serve Won 20

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 6

31 Winners 21

49 Unforced Errors 34

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng — Prediction