ATP tennis predict — Fabian Marozsan vs Martin Damm

ATP Hard Winston Salem · R16 02:35

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

43.38%

Martin Damm

USA

56.62%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.12

Market probability

55.50% / 44.50%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Damm is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.9% vs 61.8% of service points won), the advantage of playing in his home country and more aces per game (0.40 vs 0.20).

Player Comparison

1731.7 Elo 1735.9

1647.7 Elo (surface) 1652.9

87 Wins 31

50 Wins (surface) 22

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.841 Dominance ratio 1.152

63 Rank 92

26.9 Age 22.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Martin Damm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Martin Damm

1st Serve In %

55.3%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

79.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.86

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Martin Damm

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

68.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan 0 – 0 Martin Damm

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-27

R16

Fabian Marozsan #63

Martin Damm #92

2-6 6-3 6-3

11 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 2

75 Service Points 76

48 First Serve In 52

36 First Serve Won 35

13 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 6

30 Winners 16

41 Unforced Errors 28

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Fabian Marozsan vs Martin Damm — Prediction