ATP tennis predict — Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet

ATP Hard Hangzhou · QF 04:00

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

58.97%

Kyrian Jacquet

France

41.03%

Average Odds

1.77 / 2.00

Market probability

53.05% / 46.95%

Why This Prediction?

Fabian Marozsan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1911 vs 1835), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1844 vs 1812) and a stronger serve (68.9% vs 60.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1911.1 Elo 1835.4

1843.7 Elo (surface) 1811.6

90 Wins 27

53 Wins (surface) 15

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.898 Dominance ratio 1.003

59 Rank 107

27.0 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Kyrian Jacquet

1st Serve In %

53.3%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Kyrian Jacquet

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

61.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan and Kyrian Jacquet have never played each other.

Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet — Prediction