ATP tennis predict — Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 08:30

Predicted probability

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

74.71%

Alex Bolt

Australia

25.29%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.48

Market probability

72.80% / 27.20%

Why This Prediction?

Fabian Marozsan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1895 vs 1715), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1823 vs 1674) and a stronger return game (42.8% vs 33.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1895.0 Elo 1714.5

1822.9 Elo (surface) 1674.0

88 Wins 81

51 Wins (surface) 43

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.898 Dominance ratio 0.779

59 Rank 165

27.0 Age 33.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alex Bolt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Alex Bolt

1st Serve In %

55.3%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.7%

39.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

56.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.8%

42.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Fabian Marozsan Alex Bolt

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Fabian Marozsan and Alex Bolt have never played each other.

Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt — Prediction