ATP tennis predict — Ezequiel Monferrer vs Bastian Malla

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Ezequiel Monferrer

Argentina

60.98%

Bastian Malla

Chile

39.02%

Average Odds

6.30 / 1.10

Market probability

14.86% / 85.14%

Why This Prediction?

Ezequiel Monferrer is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 37.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1309.2 Elo 1404.5

1325.7 Elo (surface) 1423.1

7 Wins (Challenger) 24

7 Wins (surface) 24

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.871 Dominance ratio 0.851

996 Rank 824

23.4 Age 30.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ezequiel Monferrer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Bastian Malla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ezequiel Monferrer Bastian Malla

1st Serve In %

—

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

53.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

36.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.2%

68.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.3%

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ezequiel Monferrer Bastian Malla

Break Points Saved %

—

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ezequiel Monferrer 0 – 0 Bastian Malla

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - 1. round

Bastian Malla #824

Ezequiel Monferrer #996

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

15 First Serve Won 22

5 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.3

Ezequiel Monferrer vs Bastian Malla — Prediction