ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

15.73%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Australia

84.27%

Average Odds

7.14 / 1.08

Market probability

13.14% / 86.86%

Why This Prediction?

Thanasi Kokkinakis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1783 vs 1448), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1794 vs 1457) and a stronger serve (68.3% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1448.1 Elo 1783.4

1457.1 Elo (surface) 1794.0

66 Wins (Challenger) 110

53 Wins (surface) 68

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.931 Dominance ratio 1.454

630 Rank 456

27.9 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Thanasi Kokkinakis

1st Serve In %

58.5%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.88

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Thanasi Kokkinakis

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Thanasi Kokkinakis

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Thanasi Kokkinakis #456

Evan Zhu #630

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

64 Service Points 56

42 First Serve In 31

25 First Serve Won 23

12 Second Serve Won 19

6 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.1

Evan Zhu vs Thanasi Kokkinakis — Prediction