ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

44.14%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

55.86%

Average Odds

2.75 / 1.39

Market probability

33.57% / 66.43%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Martinez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1598 vs 1509), a stronger return game (42.1% vs 34.5% of return points won) and a stronger serve (65.5% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1509.0 Elo 1598.1

1519.4 Elo (surface) 1498.5

70 Wins (Challenger) 155

57 Wins (surface) 35

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.902 Dominance ratio 1.039

600 Rank 151

28.0 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

58.5%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Pedro Martinez

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Pedro Martinez #151

Evan Zhu #600

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 66

41 First Serve In 50

21 First Serve Won 32

12 Second Serve Won 5

3 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction