ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

33.61%

Patrick Maloney

USA

66.39%

Average Odds

2.15 / 1.64

Market probability

43.27% / 56.73%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Maloney is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1618 vs 1424), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1518 vs 1436) and more career match wins (2 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1424.2 Elo 1617.6

1435.9 Elo (surface) 1518.5

65 Wins (Challenger) 35

52 Wins (surface) 24

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.938 Dominance ratio 0.883

630 Rank -

27.9 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Patrick Maloney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Patrick Maloney

1st Serve In %

58.5%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.95

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

54.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Patrick Maloney

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

41.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

13.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Patrick Maloney

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Evan Zhu #630

Patrick Maloney #-

4-6 6-3 6-2

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

90 Service Points 79

61 First Serve In 46

46 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney — Prediction