ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Hanyi Liu

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 07:00

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

80.84%

Hanyi Liu

China

19.16%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.90

Market probability

76.17% / 23.83%

Why This Prediction?

Evan Zhu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1342), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1610 vs 1352) and a stronger return game (39.7% vs 30.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1606.4 Elo 1341.7

1610.3 Elo (surface) 1351.9

78 Wins (Challenger) 9

65 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.041 Dominance ratio 0.728

502 Rank 822

28.1 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Hanyi Liu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Hanyi Liu

1st Serve In %

58.5%

70.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.4%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.9%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.0%

21.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Hanyi Liu

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

53.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

45.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Hanyi Liu

Hard Jingshan challenger · 2026-09-30

1. round

Evan Zhu #502

Hanyi Liu #822

6-3 6-4

6 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 21

14 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Evan Zhu vs Hanyi Liu — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu — Last 10

Hanyi Liu — Last 10