ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

72.81%

Arthur Reymond

France

27.19%

Average Odds

1.19 / 3.91

Market probability

76.67% / 23.33%

Why This Prediction?

Evan Zhu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1497 vs 1402), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1501 vs 1400) and a stronger return game (36.8% vs 29.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1497.2 Elo 1401.7

1501.5 Elo (surface) 1399.8

70 Wins (Challenger) 23

57 Wins (surface) 17

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.959 Dominance ratio 0.761

600 Rank 1345

28.0 Age 27.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Arthur Reymond

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Arthur Reymond

1st Serve In %

58.5%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

35.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

29.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

1.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

53.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

23.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Arthur Reymond

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

72.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu and Arthur Reymond have never played each other.

Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond — Prediction