ATP tennis predict — Evan Zhu vs Anton Shepp

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Evan Zhu

USA

52.93%

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

47.07%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.44

Market probability

37.60% / 62.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1444.1 Elo 1532.1

1452.8 Elo (surface) 1524.8

66 Wins (Challenger) 2

53 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 0.801

664 Rank 394

28.0 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Anton Shepp

1st Serve In %

58.5%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.6%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

15.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.9%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Evan Zhu Anton Shepp

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Evan Zhu 0 – 0 Anton Shepp

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

Evan Zhu #607

Anton Shepp #489

6-3 3-6 6-3

7 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 3

101 Service Points 68

67 First Serve In 47

42 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.4

Evan Zhu vs Anton Shepp — Prediction